Monday, May 25, 2009

The Seven Most Traded Currencies in FOREX

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Currencies are traded in dollar amounts called “lots”. One lot is equal to $1,000, which controls $100,000 in currency. This is what is known as the "margin". You can control $100,000 worth of currency for only 1,000 dollars. This is what is called “High Leverage”.

Currencies are always traded in pairs in the FOREX. The pairs have a unique notation that expresses what currencies are being traded. The symbol for a currency pair will always be in the form ABC/DEF. ABC/DEF is not a real currency pair, it is an example of a symbol for a currency pair. In this example ABC is the symbol for one countries currency and DEF is the symbol for another countries currency.

Here are some of the common symbols used in the Forex:

USD - The US Dollar EUR - The currency of the European Union "EURO" GBP - The British Pound JPN - The Japanese Yen CHF - The Swiss Franc AUD - The Australian Dollar CAD - The Canadian Dollar

There are symbols for other currencies as well, but these are the most commonly traded ones.

A currency can never be traded by itself. So you can not ever trade a EUR by itself. You always need to compare one currency with another currency to make a trade possible.

Some of the common PAIRS are:

EUR/USD Euro / US Dollar "Euro"

USD/JPY US Dollar / Japanese Yen "Dollar Yen"

GBP/USD British Pound / US Dollar "Cable"

USD/CAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar "Dollar Canada"

AUD/USD Australian Dollar/US Dollar "Aussie Dollar"

USD/CHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc "Swissy"

EUR/JPY Euro / Japanese Yen "Euro Yen"

The listed currency pairs above look like a fraction. The numerator (top of the fraction or "left" of the / however you want to SEE it) is called the base currency. The denominator (bottom of the fraction or "right" of the /however you want to SEE it) is called the counter currency. When you place an order to buy the EUR/USD, for instance, you are actually buying the EUR and selling the USD. If you were to sell the pair, you would be selling the EUR and buying the USD. So if you buy or sell a currency PAIR, you are buying/selling the base currency. You are always doing the opposite of what you did with to base currency with the counter currency.

If this seems confusing then you’re in luck. You can always get by with just thinking of the entire pair as one item. Then you are just buying or selling that one item. Thinking like this will still enable you to place trades. You only need to be aware of the base/counter concept for Fundamental Analysis issues.

So why is it important to know about the base/counter currency? The base/counter currency concept illustrates what is actually taking place in a Forex transaction. Some of you reading this, know that short-selling was restricted in the stock market *(Short-selling is where you sell a stock/currency/option/commodity first and then try to buy it back at a lower price later). But in the FOREX you are always buying one currency (base) and selling another (counter). If you sell the pair you are simply flipping which one you buy and which one you sell. The transaction is essentially the same. This allows you to short-sell with no restrictions.

You want to be able to short-sell with no restrictions so you can make money when the market drops as well as when it rises. The problem with traditional stock market trading is that the market has to go up for you to make money. With FOREX trading you can make money in all directions.

Sunday, May 24, 2009

Privacy Policy

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Friday, May 22, 2009

Forex Nitty Gritty Review

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Forex Nitty Gritty is a brand new forex course from Bill Poulos, but unlike many of the useless robots and systems that are currently flooding the market, this one is actually very good. I was lucky enough to get my hands on a review copy and have since spent many hours going through all of the materials, so I can now offer you my full review of Forex Nitty Gritty.


Forex Nitty Gritty Course Contents

The course itself basically comprises three separate components:

1. Comprehensive training videos and ebooks which will give you a complete education in forex trading (ideal for beginners).

2. An actual trading method that is both profitable and easy to follow. It can also be traded on any time frame (I'm currently using it myself on the 15 minute charts).

3. Ongoing training from a real-life forex trader which also includes daily videos of the trading method in action.

(The third component is an optional monthly service that you can subscribe to but you get 30 days free access to this service and you can simply cancel your subscription if you don't wish to continue after the 30 days are up).


Who Is The Course Aimed At?

Forex Nitty Gritty is primarily aimed at beginners but if you've been trading for a while and are still losing money overall, then you should also benefit from this course because not only does it cover all the basics of forex trading and give you some very sound advice, but it also provides you with a profitable forex strategy you can start using immediately.

I've been trading for years but I still picked up a few excellent tips from some of the more advanced training modules and I've also incorporated the trading strategy into my own trading because it is a great little system and compliments my main 4 hour trading method very nicely.


Is The Trading Method Easy To Use?

Yes it is one of the simplest methods you are ever likely to come across because it is based primarily on price action. The system is so effective because it always enters trades in the direction of the overall trend and therefore the odds are always in your favour.

The objective of the system is simple. It doesn't try and enter at the start of the trend and exit at the end of the trend. It simply aims to capture a large chunk of the middle part of the trend, which is a lot easier to do.

As I've already mentioned, you can in theory use this trading method on any time frame, but I personally use it on the 15 minute charts to trade the GBP/USD, EUR/USD and USD/JPY pairs (as well as the FTSE 100 and Dow Jones indices), and have been delighted with the results so far.


How Does Forex Nitty Gritty Compare With Other Products?

Well I get sent a lot of forex systems and robots by people wanting me to promote their product, and I can tell you now that most of them are complete garbage. This new product, however, is in a different league to these products because for a start it has been created by an actual trader (Bill Poulos) who has been trading the markets for over 30 years and knows more about the markets than most of us will ever know.

Furthermore for the small price of just $97, you are getting outstanding value for money because not only do you get a complete forex education but you also get a profitable trading strategy you can use to trade the markets (which actually generates profits, unlike most of the products out there).


Final Comments On Forex Nitty Gritty

Overall despite the dodgy name this is one of the most comprehensive forex courses you are ever likely to come across. I literally spent around 5 or 6 hours over the course of 2 days going through all of the training videos and materials prior to writing this review.

I also spent several hours back-testing the trading strategy and putting the system into practice, and can certainly recommend you add this system to your arsenal because it's one that is capable of generating profits on any time frame (although as with all systems it's not quite as reliable on the 1 minute and 5 minute charts because the trends are a lot smaller).

Overall I would certainly recommend the Forex Nitty Gritty course to anyone who is either interested in learning more about forex trading in general, or to anyone who is looking for a simple, but profitable trading system they can use to trade the markets.

If you want to find out more about exactly what's included in the course, you can do so by clicking on the following link:

Running A High Risk High Reward Forex Account

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In this post I want to discuss the merits of opening a forex account specifically to place high risk high reward positions. Now before you dismiss this idea out of hand, please hear me out because this concept may not be as crazy as it sounds.

What I'm actually suggesting is that you open two forex accounts. The primary one should be used to trade your main forex strategy and should hopefully accumulate regular profits over time as a result of taking controlled positions. You should treat this account like you would your pension fund in that your ultimate goal is to grow your account by taking safe low-risk trades which over time will give you some very healthy returns.

The secondary one should be your high risk account. This account should be a fraction of the size of your main trading account, and should be financed by money you can afford to lose. The goal of this account is to identify set-ups that have a large pay-off of at least 4:1. For example you are looking to trade positions which could potentially move 400 points in your favour whilst using a 100 point stop loss.

Furthermore you will be risking your whole account on this trade, or as much as you are allowed by using leverage. The worst case scenario is that you lose all or most of the cash in your account but remember that this account should be very small anyway and it should be money you can afford to lose. I usually start off with no more than £200 in this high-risk account.

With this account I am looking to make at least £800 from a winning trade and while this may sound fanciful, it is not actually that difficult because you only need a success rate of 20% (equivalent to 1 winning trade out of 5) just to break-even. However if you get a couple of consecutive winning trades, your account can grow substantially.

Although this is a high-risk account, you should still take this account seriously. Use technical analysis along with support and resistance lines to place the odds in your favour and only trade those positions that are most likely to pay off. For this particular system I suggest you use some kind of breakout system on the daily or weekly charts because these time frames are the ones that will give you these substantial gains.

If you get it right with an account size of say £200, you could grow this into £1000 with one winning trade, and then you can either withdraw your winnings and start again, withdraw the initial £200 and look for another opportunity with the remaining £800, or you could look for an opportunity to turn the £1000 into £5000 (I actually achieved this feat a couple of years ago). If you lose with the initial trade, you have only lost £200 and can simply reload your account if you have any spare cash that you can afford to lose.

This strategy of having two types of account isn't for everyone of course, but as long as you have a primary low-risk account which contains the majority of your trading capital, then I don't think there's anything wrong with risking a tiny fraction of this capital in a high-risk account because you can make some substantial gains if you catch some of the sizeable moves that occur regularly on the daily or weekly charts.

Weekly Trading Update - May 18-22 2009

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This week has been absolutely incredible and I'm pretty sure it's been my most profitable week ever. There was one solid trade on each one of the three major currency pairs that I trade (GBP/USD, EUR/USD and USD/JPY) and each one worked out perfectly.

The daily Supertrend was bullish on the GBP/USD and EUR/USD pairs and bearish on the USD/JPY pair so this dictated which way I should have been trading on the 4 hour charts, and thankfully there were EMA crossovers in the required direction on all three pairs.

The first crossover occurred right at the start of the week on Monday morning. The EMAs on the 4 hour GBP/USD chart crossed nicely upwards and I entered a long position in the afternoon after the price pulled back to 1.5272. I then closed half the position for 50 points and let the other half run, moving my stop loss to break-even.

My initial target was 1.55 but after it reached this target relatively easily I decided to move my stop loss up to 1.54 and set my target price at 1.56 which was automatically triggered on Wednesday. So this was an excellent result in itself (although it has of course gone up by another 350 points since then) but I had a similar outcome on the EUR/USD pair.

This crossover occurred on Tuesday morning and I was actually very lucky here because if I had got up earlier I probably would have entered a position at 1.3570 (which would have been taken out at break-even later on) but I switched on the computer, saw the crossover taking shape and managed to get in at 1.3552.

Anyway I ended up closing half the position for 50 points and letting the other half run, moving my stop loss up to break-even once more. The price did fall back a few times but thankfully it didn't quite manage to hit my stop loss and after this lucky escape I decided I was going to hold onto this position for as long as possible.

The price continued to soar and after it hit 1.38 on Wednesday evening I was tempted to close out but I held on for a bit longer and ended up closing out the position for 1.3883 for a profit of around 330 points.

The final position was on the USD/JPY pair, which crossed downwards in the early hours of Wednesday morning. Thankfully it took it's time and I managed to enter a short position in the morning at 95.66. I closed half the position for 40 points and let the other half run. I was going to hold out for 94 but when I was 100 points in profit I decided that was a good enough return and closed the position.

So overall it was an outstanding week and it's been long overdue because in recent weeks these EMA crossovers have fizzled out fairly quickly. The only downside is that there are unlikely to be too many set-ups next week, if any at all, so here's hoping we get some big reversals so we can start all over again.

(If you would like full details of my main 4 hour trading strategy you can access it by filling on the form above and subscribing to my newsletter).

Have a great weekend.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Amazon's Best Investment Book Reviews: Have You Been Brainwashed?

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Most popular investment books are published for the already rich and famous, by an industry that has become just too good at the business of selling books. Rarely will a publisher take a chance with the work of an unknown author. Certainly, it's a no brainer to sell a Jim Cramer, Peter Lynch, Robert Kiyosaki, or Maria Bartiromo effort while a uniquely new approach to solving the puzzles of Wall Street, presented by an unknown writer or commentator, requires some major financial risk.

Big publishers want to sell already big names; discovering new ones is not in their wheelhouse. Are they responsible for the problems in the financial markets? Of course not, but they do have a perverse, if indirect, impact. By constantly publishing the same Wall Street friendly message, they contribute to the brainwashing.

Without a wider distribution of new ideas based on old wisdom, Wall Street as usual remains Wall Street as usual and the average investor remains uninformed and ill advised about the dangers of the financial markets. The biggest investment mistake generators are cleverly ignored by most of the books I've read about investing--- even compounded.

The new generation focus on calendar year instead of market cycle performance; the worship of portfolio market value alone, for all securities, even those purchased solely for income production; the use of gimmicks and products instead of securities for portfolio development; the acceptance of speculations as acceptable, "alternative" investments.

Appreciating the differences between investing and speculating, and learning what to expect from your securities in cyclical markets are things that investors must learn about. Have you been brainwashed? These 15 Amazon members are learning to think outside the Wall Street box, without any help (or investment) from publishers:

1) Super Investing Book: I've read a bunch of books on investing and money management, and this is the best, BY FAR!!!!! It's so good, and refreshing, that I've read it twice. (R. Q. A., Bryan, Texas)

2) Back to Basics: This is an eye-opening and intelligent book, which at once offers an analysis of the investment industry and a practical guide for non-professional investors--- a clear set of economic principles mixed with clear commonsensical advice. The author--- describes how to benefit from the ups and downs. Great book. (Professor P. W., Jerusalem, Israel)

3) The Best Investment Book I Have Ever Read: For skittish investors such as me, [the] unique Working Capital Model reduces the emotional factor by taking the emphasis off market value and focusing on growth of working capital. I implemented and followed the trading strategy myself. You would do well to buy this book and read it two or three times. It will save you [from] a lifetime of mistakes that come from following conventional wisdom. (D. J. F., Peoria, IL)

4) Easy to Understand, Even for Non-Investors: This book seems to be much easier to understand than the stock market trading systems advertised on TV. (P. L., Manchester, CT)

5) Happy User: You can take this system to heart--- and to the bank. It works for me. (L. J., Phoenix, AZ)

6) Unique Advice that Stands Out From the Crowd: This is one of two [books] that stand out. Besides being written in an entertaining and irreverent style, it has immensely practical advice. Focus on making money on the market's inherent volatility vs. trying to guess what's next. Saves a lot of time and appears to work. (C. M. Rakes, Annandale, VA)

7) An Enlightened Self-Managed Investor: Not only did I identify many many mistakes that I had made thru the years, but the logical approach outlined [in the book] has to make sense to anybody who has tried to get meaningful portfolio guidelines for future investments tailored to individual needs. Great Book! (A. C., West Palm Beach, FL)

8) Right on the Money: I didn't want to put the book down until I was through. [The] trading strategy is refreshing information that should make a lot of people a lot of money with less risk. (D. M., SC)

9) Investing Made Successful: I heard [the Author] on a talk-radio program and was intrigued by the premise of the book. After reading it, I'm convinced. I'm migrating from mutual funds to individual, high quality equities. [The book] was a slap in the face to make me stop my destructive investing habits. (G. P., Colorado Springs, CO)

10) What a Great Read: This is really an incredible book--- [it] has incorporated very creative insight with some highly original thinking to produce one of the best "investing manuals" ever written. I wholeheartedly endorse this book! ("Jointhefreedom", NM)

11) Courage To Go Against the Pack: The [book] is written in an exciting, enthusiastic, fast moving, style that reads like a novel. Should I ever venture into the stock market, it will be with this book. (S. M., Virginia Beach, VA)

12) L-O-N-G Overdue Investment Strategy Advice: I've long been skeptical of the generic advice handed down to me by advisors over the past--- I don't know any wealthy people who do this. Well now I have a frame of reference for my doubts about the system and a simple plan to take control of my investments. (B. S., Vancouver, BC, Canada)

13) A Must Read To Save Your Money From the Sharks: Written in a conversational style with plenty of humor, this book gives you the questions and answers you need to keep and increase monies that are being put away for retirement. I have purchased three books already and am purchasing five more to give to friends and relatives--- (R. M., San Jose, CA)

14) Brainwashing of the American Investor: Finally the truth! What an eye-opener to see how the markets, and the people behind the markets, have manipulated the average investor over the years. I highly recommend [this] book for your next financial read. (A. J. L., Ft. Pierce, FL)

15) Profit Like a Trader; Sleep Like an Investor: The technique or strategy presented is almost a "why didn't I think of that?" The idea is to run your portfolio the same way you would run a business---not a get-rich-quick kind of plan. You just focus on the essential measures of quality. The key is to maintain your plan during the slow times and reign in your greed during the boom times. (P. G., Moon Township, PA)

Today's publishing industry has a no-risk attitude, and those that are brave enough to deal with new authors are intimidated by the full-return guarantee demands of the bookstores. Stuck in the middle with no choice, most new authors must turn to self-publishing.

The reviews above describe a book that Wall Street wants to keep in the closet, an educational and strategic breakthrough that would have allowed most investors to avoid the bubbles and derivatives that caused our current financial woes. There are probably others--- below the 200-level in all Amazon's best categories.

Last Bank Standing - The Wall Street Mega-Crash

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Dateline Washington, October 19th (get it?) 2010: the Peoples Bank & Trust of America has now established itself as the only bank of any kind in the USA, totally owned and managed by the US House of Representatives. A 2/3 majority must now approve all investment banking transactions; your district representative's staff reviews individual mortgage applications; and all 401(k), IRA, and remaining employer pension assets have been rolled into the Social Security Slush Fund.

Only federal and state elected officials are exempt from the 45% all purpose Income Tax. The estimated time to bring new companies public is 4.5 years; all individual account dividends and interest are paid directly into your IRS "grabber" account; CEO's salaries are limited to 50% of the amount paid to a first year congressman, and any government budget shortfalls are withdrawn from corporate earnings before any corporate obligations can be dealt with.

All employees receive the federal mandated minimum wage, except senior executives who are limited as mentioned above. Scary? This is a scenario that could play out if Congress (or the SEC) does not come to the rescue of the credit markets. You missed your opportunity to help stop it, but chances are a fix is on its way.

How many more businesses, jobs, and hopes will be killed by this irresponsible Congress? When will the average blogger realize that when a corporation fails, we all suffer? One would think that the informed and enlightened could take time out from their texting for a little research and education. Instead, they show their power by influencing public opinion numbers and the marshmallow politicians who worship them. As economist Irwin Kellner and I have pointed out, this is no bailout and we are not nearly approaching a recession.

Kellner's September 28th Market Watch article points out ten major differences between now and then: (1) In 1929, the DJIA plunged 40% in two months vs. around 30% in about a year. (2) In 1933, the jobless rate was 33% vs. 6% today. (3) The GDP shrank 25% then, but has increased 6% now. (4) Consumer prices actually fell 30% then but haven't ever since.

(5) Home prices dropped 30% then, but only 16% from the recent bubbly highs. (6) 40% of all mortgages were in default then vs. only 4% now. (7) 9,000 banks failed in the 1930s compared with just 25 or so (bigger and broader based ones) recently. (8) The Federal Reserve reduced the money supply, (9) raised interest rates, and (10) raised taxes on foreign imports.

Further, Kellner points out, we now have automatic stabilizers, deposit insurances, and market trading restrictions as protective elements. Today's Congress however, has never been good at connecting dots, has accomplished nothing under an unpopular president, and is ignoring its role as the primary creative force in today's problems. This transfusion is needed because: bad laws have obscured the values on financial institution balance sheets, and have created a clot in the credit arteries that keep the economy alive.

Educate yourselves on the Accounting Rule's that require institutions to book paying assets at pennies on the dollar. Find out why institutions are afraid to loan money to one another--- over night, at any rate of interest--- strangling the credit markets.

Doing nothing is killing jobs, killing companies, and deferring retirements for those who were counting on 401(k) and IRA dollars to provide them with income. Congress, of course has an old-fashioned pension plan, so it is unaffected by such financial realities.

Investigate the relaxation of lending standards that Congress orchestrated over the past few administrations, before blaming the companies that then extended credit to many speculators and other buyers who falsified application papers. Learn how the SEC was prohibited from regulating the CDOs and other multiple-leveraged credit market speculations. There are as many culprits outside the corporate executive suite as in it.

Congress is bursting with pride over bringing some of the Rich and Famous to their knees, and capping some of their obscene compensation arrangements at still shareholder pillaging levels. I've spoken often about how these salaries need to be controlled. But the multi-level-mortgage-marketing schemes that Congress encouraged must be unbundled somehow, and a buy out is the proper vehicle.

Congress has punished the entire world with its attack on Wall Street, and both parties are to blame. Representatives of the states listed below voted "no" to the credit transfusion, causing death and destruction that, in many instances, cannot be recouped. We have to replace them with better decision makers, representatives who can think in economic terms when they have to.

The number and letter code after the state designation indicates the number of representatives and their party: AL-1R, AK-1R, AZ-4D4R, CA-15D9R, CO-2D2R, CT-1D, FL-1D13R, GA-4D7R, HI-2D, ID-1R, IL-4D5R, IN-3D3R, IA-1D2R, KS-1D2R, KY-2D2R, LA-2D3R, ME-1D, MD-2D1R, MA-3D, MI-3D6R, MN-2D2R, MS-3D, MO-2D3R, MT-1R, NE-3R, NV-1D1R, NH-2D, NJ-3D4R, NM-1D1R, NY-3D1R, NC-3D5R, OH-3D7R, OK-3R, OR-3D, PA-3D7R, SC-1R, SD-1D, TN-1D4R, TX-8D14R, UT-1D1R, VT-1D, VA-1D5R, WA-1D3R, WV-1R, WI-1D2R (Names withheld, but available from the author.)

On Friday evening, candidates Obama and McCain gave their support to the Capital infusion, but neither bothered to explain why--- a huge audience was ready to soak up the information. Over the weekend, both attended meetings to support the plan and to generate support from their respective parties.

Is there enough time left to find a hero?